2020: We’re Living Through History
The problem with history is that it takes a long time.
Often it takes a long time to happen, but more importantly, it takes a long time to work out what happened, how important it was, and what caused it. And more importantly – it takes even longer (if at all) to learn the lesson it teaches.
And there was an awful lot of “history” last year!
COVID 19, and the resulting lockdowns blighted last year, and continue to blight 2021. According to the John Hopkins COVID Resource Centre as of mid-January 2021 97m people have had COVID worldwide and 2.1m people have died (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html). World economic output has dropped by 7%, the biggest drop since World War 2.
No doubt, the immediate impact of COVID is significant, but what of the long-term trends. And what of the “unintended” consequences?
In his extraordinary 1998 book, “Guns Germs and Steel”, Jared Diamond explained the impact on civilisation of transgenic diseases jumping from farmed animals to humans. Specifically, the part smallpox played in decimating the native populations of North and South America, making the European conquest of these continents so much easier.
So, in 10 or 20 years, what will we have learned from COVID-19, what might be the “unintended” consequences ?
It appears that COVID 19 was also a transgenic disease, jumping species somewhere in China. That deadly “chance” highlights the appalling damage (not to mention suffering) caused by rearing and slaughtering 80 billion animals a year, so we can eat meat. Might COVID-19 encourage a move to Veganism?
COVID 19 shows how a long term, high impact, yet relatively unlikely, risk can devastate … if it happens. It illustrates how ignoring those risks, to deal with more likely, but less impactful issues, comes back to haunt you. Might it provided us with a terrible “wake up call”, (hopefully) forcing us to deal with climate change?
COVID 19 has highlighted inequality. Inequality between those children who can keep up with their remote lessons because they have a laptop, and those who don’t, and can’t. Inequality between higher skilled workers who can mostly work from home, and those who can’t. Inequality between races, where the pandemic seems to hit the BAME community harder than the white community. And finally, inequality between the rich world, racing to vaccinate their population, and the rest of the world …. where vaccines are too expensive, too difficult to manufacture or too difficult to distribute. Will COVID-19 force democratic governments to do more to address growing inequality?
And finally, in those western democracies the state has stepped into citizen’s lives in ways that would have been unimaginable even 2 years ago – and mostly for the good (or at least with good intentions – let’s not talk about the outcomes!). One lesson history teaches is that, when sates take more control of their citizen’s lives, they give it up reluctantly.
Will COVID-19 lead to more authoritarian states, with greater control over their citizens?
To return to my first paragraph, history will take time to work out where all this ends. Dramatic events can have huge, unintended consequences. That’s particularly true of diseases.
You can draw a line between smallpox and the colonization of the Americas, between the Black Death and the end of serfdom in England, between African’s relative immunity to malarial mosquitoes and the Atlantic slave trade, and between the Spanish Flu, the great depression, the rise of Fascism and World War 2.
History has a funny way of things working out!
David Calder, Cashroom

Lately we can add to that list people who have been made redundant by their firm due to Covid-19 related uncertainty, and those who have realised by working remotely for the best part of a year that they don’t actually gain very much from all the back-office infrastructure and cost their current firm has, and could very easily and seamlessly set up on their own. For example, one recent new enquiry told me that she has realised they don’t really need a receptionist to answer the phone – calls can be easily diverted to the relevant Partner, and they definitely don’t need multiple typists – it turns out that typing emails, or short letters, themselves isn’t that difficult or time consuming.
So, if you have started the new year with a resolution to set up your own firm, please do get in touch for an informal chat about it. We have been through this many, many times before with all different types and sizes of firms. We are very well placed to recommend some things you may want to think about, some networks you may want to join, some systems or processes you may want to put in place, some people you may want to consult with on, for example, which bank may be best suited for your needs, and of course we can chat through our service offering to ensure accounts rules compliance, payroll and accounting are taken care of, all without the burden of employing somebody.
According to
Economists debate why that is. However, one theory is that it takes time to work out how best to deploy new technologies effectively. Think about the “dot com boom” – everybody knew that the internet would revolutionise the world … but it took a while to work out how that would happen – hence the dot com bust. It takes time for businesses to work out how best to use technology and make the organisational changes that let them do it.
Lexcel encourages law firms to adopts strict controls (
Paul McCuskey is Managing Director of
She now keeps password details on yellow stickers next to her screen. [Clear security risk, but surprisingly common] The new system is cloud based and many data reports are available, however Maureen tends to provide info to the partners using Excel spreadsheets. It can take several weeks to pull the data into her old spreadsheets but she prefers to do it that way. [Inefficient process and providing the Management Information to the partners so slowly makes the information far less useful]
This year the firm has of course coped with Covid restrictions. Initially their work dropped off, but there has been a huge surge of conveyancing work since July. When the first lockdown occurred, Maureen was sent to work from home, however the firm’s technology and processes didn’t work for her. Her home wifi kept crashing as she tried to set up payments. The partners who were used to giving her tasks face to face struggled to implement remote working. Supervision and ongoing training of Joe was almost impossible. When things eased the firm decided to move the finance function back into the office, seating Joe and Maureen at either end of their room. [Many firms had the same problem- working securely and efficiently away from the office is not as easy as simply sending people home with a laptop]
My first take away, was how resilient our client firms are. While a few found the first lock down, challenging, all of them managed, with a mixture of home working, and minimising visits to the office.
As I mentioned above, residential conveyancing lawyers are nervous. There is normally a dip over the holiday period, but the expectation is that with increasingly sever lockdowns, and the expectation of increased redundancies, that will be exacerbated (one person referred to the Furlough Scheme as the “Redundancy Deferral Scheme”!). A number of people reported mortgage lenders dramatically tightening their lending criteria, making getting a mortgage much harder.
The biggest problem for individuals and business over the last few months has been uncertainty and a collapse in confidence. Everybody has put off significant purchases and investments because of uncertainty, and a lack of confidence. The result – a lot of people are sitting on cash – remember the firms who have their CBILS still sitting in the bank, and all that cash “looking for a home”?
There is no doubt that there is an increase in cyber awareness and firms are training
I promise I didn’t spend my honeymoon in Cornwall thinking about the legal sector and business generally. That would be tragic, and may well be the sort of thing that would lead to a very brief marriage.
When we were looking where to eat we would want to view a clear website, with the detail we needed (menus usually, and lists of cocktails!), and we would always consider some of the recent reviews and star ratings.
It is easy to see how much cash you have in the bank from month to month, but much more difficult to monitor how much your clients owe you, how much you owe creditors, and of the monthly movements in those figures. An increase in debtors, without an increase in turnover can be an early warning sign that clients are taking longer to pay, and that you need to invest some time in chasing payment of your outstanding fees, or using an outsourced Credit Control service.
Some business owners will choose to take their earnings in dividends or drawings rather than salary. However, for less established or less profitable companies this will need careful monitoring, to ensure too many dividends or drawings are not taken through the year. For other businesses, it may be that through monthly monitoring, it is perfectly possible to take more drawings each month.
Every limited company must file a set of accounts with
If you are looking to raise finance from a bank or investor, continue or increase an overdraft, usually a good business plan, backed up by forecasts and accounts, can dramatically improve your chances of success. However, this can be difficult to do if you are using a set of accounts that were produced 6 months or more ago. This is especially true if the business performance has changed significantly since the last financial year end, or in the present situation, where the whole world has changed significantly since the previous year!
So we are now well into lockdown 2 in England but hopefully it is not quite as drastic on working life as the first time – thankfully there is less home schooling, banana bread making and Joe Wicks too! Wales has come out of their ‘circuit break’ and the central belt of Scotland is working under Tier 3 restrictions. Back in March, EVERYTHING stopped so what about this time?
We had planned to reopen in October, but have recently told our staff not to expect to be back working “in person” until April next year. Pessimistic? Perhaps, but one thing that makes lockdown harder is uncertainty. How do you plan your life, if you don’t know from one month to the next whether you will be at home of in the office? By ruling out a return to the office for 6 months, it lets people plan a little bit further ahead.
So, like many people I’m going into my 8th month of working from my “study” at home. And when I say “study”, I really mean the kids old “playroom”, complete with pictures on the wall and Winnie the Pooh lamp shade!
CSR activities, at any time, really can be a win:win:win!
So, I would encourage you not to write off CSR just now, but to embrace the opportunities it brings.